Alfred Lam, CFA, Senior Vice-President, and Co-Head of Multi Asset, CI Global Asset Management Our 2024 Wish List As we enter a new year, we consider the following a “wish list”: lower inflation, lower interest rates, higher investment value and, last but not least, peace! As inflation continues to decline, central banks have signaled their […]
By: Alfred Lam, MBA, CFA, Senior Vice-President, Co-Head of Multi-Asset Vice-President, Investment Strategy CI GAM Portfolio Management and; Richard J. Wylie, MA, CFA, Vice-President, Investment StrategyCI GAM Portfolio Management CI Assante Wealth Management What will happen to interest rates in 2024? Bank of Canada extends “pause” As can be seen in the graph above, the […]
By Stephen Lingard, MBA, CFA, Senior Vice-President, and Co-Head of Multi-Asset, CI Global Asset Management Pressure Continues to Build Equity implied volatility is in the mid-teens, suggesting a possibility that investors have become complacent. This is happening despite a relentless increase in market interest rates, which is slowly building pressure on the system. After a […]
By Matthew Strauss, Senior Vice-President, Portfolio Manager & Lead – Global Equities, CI Global Asset Management. Emerging Market Equities Are Well-Placed to Outperform After two years of underperformance, there was great hope as 2023 commenced that this would be the year where emerging market equities would outperform their developed market peers. The re-opening of the […]
Stephen Lingard, SVP, Co-Head of Multi-Asset, CIGAM Portfolio Management. Headline inflation has been the single biggest macro factor affecting financial markets over the past 18 months due to the resulting impact on global monetary policy. Central banks around the world have scurried to remove monetary accommodation by raising short-term policy rates at the fastest pace […]
By James Dutkiewicz, CFA, Senior Vice President, and Head of Fixed Income, CI Global Asset Management. Fixed Income Commentary The battle between slowing overall economic activity and stubborn inflation continues to rage in most geographies. Central banks in these regions have increased short rates very sharply over the past year. Generally, the results have been […]
By Alfred Lam, CFA, Senior Vice-President, and Head of Multi-Assets, CI Global Asset Management. A Smooth Start (for now) Investors’ appetites have increased as we entered 2023. Generally, at asset class level, the larger the loss in 2022, the larger the gain (recovery) in 2023, though this is only the data for January (see chart […]
By Alfred Lam, CFA, Senior Vice-President, and Head of Multi-Assets, CI Global Asset Management. On the Edge of Recession Recession seems to be the dominating topic for 2023. The depth of recession and what may trigger it could be different from country to country. In Canada, rising rates have led to cooling restate demand as […]
The boss of the boss: inflation It is fair to assume inflation is cooling. Supply chain disruption has eased, as evidenced by the falling commodity prices. As interest rates rise, the willingness and ability of consumers to pay up has diminished. We have seen this in the property sector as mortgage rates have more than […]
Short-Term Pain, Long-Term Gain The October U.S. CPI, as reported at an annualized rate below 4%, leads to some hope that the Fed’s hiking has been effective, and rates are close to terminal. Investors have re-priced terminal Fed Funds rates throughout the year, from as low as 2% to most recently 5%. The current CPI […]
